Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 1090.677412 1241.056349 1409.748308 1613.978634 1855.832481 2134.695258 2482.856080
2025-06-15 877.202503 1076.145531 1321.345290 1649.879310 2084.840178 2650.043849 3455.315255
2025-06-22 734.112628 941.211985 1211.171511 1596.096640 2143.030137 2911.736196 4110.445226
2025-06-29 634.751362 842.254734 1124.929236 1548.637882 2186.664106 3144.688870 4760.590169
2025-07-06 556.788021 759.520927 1045.760145 1492.887881 2199.878399 3323.527848 5354.772656
2025-07-13 524.498917 735.790219 1045.208190 1549.657071 2389.428888 3808.277437 6577.225202
2025-07-20 488.572934 701.785375 1023.865262 1568.691856 2517.598029 4211.046755 7756.805605
2025-07-27 458.948477 673.605554 1007.249666 1591.348282 2653.006979 4650.156131 9132.414441
2025-08-03 431.808948 646.212631 988.193937 1606.046538 2774.558128 5085.180859 10632.450700
2025-08-10 414.860399 633.160275 990.627433 1657.710474 2972.653260 5714.174988 12796.421728
2025-08-17 396.592874 616.035180 983.992434 1691.232808 3139.733483 6313.962422 15115.235220
2025-08-24 376.523714 593.995623 966.374040 1701.246761 3259.369774 6833.855825 17428.046548
2025-08-31 355.443842 569.198209 942.734843 1699.196637 3359.108392 7346.874561 20007.019950
2025-09-07 341.608713 555.980663 938.981372 1736.949233 3556.081568 8160.402892 23992.277978
2025-09-14 316.962844 521.460414 892.263048 1679.741133 3522.265842 8357.122694 25948.479588
2025-09-21 295.551102 491.215035 851.012113 1629.206337 3496.201261 8570.662466 28101.311988
2025-09-28 275.087086 461.295458 807.943924 1569.885645 3439.087127 8682.914594 29932.830157
2025-10-05 269.716713 458.968400 818.513534 1630.292452 3697.783011 9819.614309 36966.554065
2025-10-12 260.405066 448.473752 811.791955 1650.554233 3855.023586 10690.381465 43500.890386
2025-10-19 252.131163 439.349156 807.004233 1674.675690 4027.978192 11674.595007 51546.944933
2025-10-26 243.622615 429.155760 799.093465 1690.327051 4180.484726 12643.909124 60536.851491
2025-11-02 239.118730 426.524506 806.839373 1745.357543 4461.203824 14203.049141 75203.273754
2025-11-09 233.172344 420.568582 806.892645 1781.077753 4691.537878 15666.088560 91386.343691